Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.175523 0.193423 0.213030 0.236218 0.263046 0.293297 0.330253
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.145692 0.169285 0.197144 0.232927 0.278353 0.335065 0.412822
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.124907 0.150228 0.181660 0.224395 0.282384 0.360543 0.478010
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112879 0.139526 0.173955 0.223018 0.293486 0.395126 0.561451
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.102493 0.129387 0.165239 0.218283 0.298093 0.419999 0.635024
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.096482 0.124260 0.162416 0.220973 0.313274 0.462827 0.748709
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.088754 0.115963 0.154156 0.214371 0.312665 0.479352 0.819197
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.081609 0.107867 0.145378 0.205840 0.307454 0.486581 0.873038
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.075850 0.101317 0.138289 0.199117 0.304186 0.496416 0.934936
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.075258 0.102222 0.142388 0.210700 0.334154 0.574669 1.179900
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.076678 0.106183 0.151468 0.231585 0.384561 0.707168 1.632687
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.075432 0.105930 0.153777 0.240947 0.414526 0.804230 2.052334
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071367 0.101267 0.148951 0.237772 0.420449 0.851425 2.364300
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067058 0.095997 0.142796 0.231658 0.419673 0.883425 2.657693
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062683 0.090348 0.135575 0.222750 0.411386 0.893711 2.877648
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059951 0.087201 0.132402 0.221314 0.419729 0.953282 3.393551
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056952 0.083427 0.127842 0.216617 0.419654 0.988554 3.838195
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.055313 0.081816 0.126978 0.219276 0.437827 1.087750 4.830275
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.052485 0.078034 0.121937 0.212744 0.431883 1.105617 5.318562
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.049597 0.074015 0.116228 0.204301 0.419810 1.098932 5.623239
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.047152 0.070649 0.111534 0.197647 0.411577 1.104399 6.067309
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047249 0.071673 0.115038 0.209111 0.454349 1.322795 9.368911
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048351 0.074519 0.122209 0.229774 0.529115 1.733681 18.987924